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Stock Shoot - ANTM
June 08, 2018 09:48 WIB

Kinerja saham ANTM cenderung melemah, untuk menguji level 900, kemudian momentum tersebut disertai dengan kinerja saham ANTM yang berada pada teritori upper band pada indikator Bollinger band. Sebelumnya, rekomendasi beli saham ANTM di sampaikan pada tanggal 21 Mei 2018 pada harga Rp.850, dengan target harga 960, hingga ANTM berhasil menguji harga tertinggi Rp. 1.015 dengan rekomendasi jual pada tanggal 6 Juni 2018.
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Money Development 06 Juni 2018
June 06, 2018 14:58 WIB

Money supply grew at a slightly slower pace in April than it did in March. Broad money or M2 grew by 7.4 percent YoY in April, or slightly lower than its growth pace of 7.5 percent YoY in March. The slower pace of M2 growth was mainly due to the slower growth of M1 (narrow money) which grew by only 10.2 percent YoY in April, or less than the 11.9 percent YoY growth pace in March. By contrast, the growth rate of quasi money increased from 6.2 percent YoY in March to 6.6 percent YoY in April. This helped to avert a further slowdown in the pace of M2 growth.

Deposits growth was stagnant in April at 7.3 percent YoY. As for credit growth, it edged up to 8.9 percent in April from 8.5 percent in the previous month. Despite this, the uptrend in consumer credit growth corrected slightly as it fell to 11.1 percent. Money Supply: Moderate Slowdown

Money supply grew at a slightly slower pace in April than it did in March. Broad money or M2 grew by 7.4 percent YoY in April, or slightly lower than its growth pace of 7.5 percent YoY in March. The slower pace of M2 growth was mainly due to the slower growth of M1 (narrow money) which grew by only 10.2 percent YoY
in April, or less than the 11.9 percent YoY growth pace in March. The slower growth of both cash and IDR giro reined in M1 growth in April. Cash grew by 13.8 percent YoY in April, or down from its growth pace of 17.1 percent YoY in March. As for IDR giro, its growth slowed from 8.7 percent YoY in March to 7.9 percent YoY in April. The slowdown of M1 was consistent with slower than expected GDP growth in Q1 2018 (5.06 percent). By contrast, the growth rate of quasi money increased from 6.2 percent YoY in March to 6.6 percent YoY in April. This helped to avert a further slowdown in the pace of M2 growth. The slower growth of M2 in April owed to the slowdown in net foreign assets growth since foreign exchange reserves declined as the rupiah depreciated in April. Furthermore, the growth of government accounts in BI and the banking system climbed from 11.7 percent YoY in March to 16.6 percent YoY in April, in line with government bond issuances which increased from IDR 66.83 trillion in March to IDR 78.14 trillion in April.

In May, money supply is expected to grow at a moderate pace. Global uncertainties – especially in the US – remain high, affecting rupiah volatility and creating the potential for capital outflows. BI’s benchmark interest rate was hiked twice in May (50 bps in total). The onset of the fasting month of Ramadan should, however, help to support money supply growth in May.

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Consumer Confidence June 2018
June 04, 2018 08:37 WIB

Consumer Confidence strengthened in May 2018. In this month, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) rose 1 percent to 99.5 from 98.5 after declining by 2.2 percent in the previous survey. Our latest survey reveals that consumers gave more positive assessments on current economic conditions and the state of the job market. In particular, consumer concerns on job scarcity eased (with the proportion of consumers citing this issue as a concern falling from 39.0 percent to 36.7 percent in May). In addition, consumer concerns on the high prices and scarcity of LPG also declined (down from 14.3 percent to 10.6 percent in May).

Of the two main components which make up the CCI, only one increased in May: the component measuring consumer sentiment toward current conditions, the Present Situations Index (PSI), climbed 4.0 percent to 84.7, as sentiment toward the current state of the economy and the job market improved. By contrast, the other main component of the CCI - the one measuring consumer sentiment toward the future (the Expectations Index or EI) – edged down by 0.7 percent to 110.6. The fall in this index reflects weaker consumer optimism toward the economy and the job market outlook over the next six months.

With consumers less upbeat on the national economic outlook, buying intentions for durable goods also declined in May. In our survey, 40.49 percent of consumers expressed plans to purchase a durable good over the next six months, or down from 41.59 percent in the previous month. Nevertheless, on a
yearly comparison, buying intentions for durable goods are still higher since only 39.50 percent of consumers expressed plans to purchase a durable good back in May 2017.

Consumer confidence in the government’s ability to carry out its duties weakened in the May survey. After decreasing 1.3% in the previous survey, the Consumer Confidence in the Government Index (CCGI) retreated 0.2% to 106.1 in May. Three components of the CCGI declined while two components increased. Nonetheless, four CCGI components are still above the neutral level of 100, thereby indicating that consumers are generally convinced in the government’s ability to carry out its duties.

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Forecast For Aug 2016

Exports US$ 10.40 bn
Imports US$ 10.20 bn
Trade Balance US$ 0.25 bn


Forecast for 2016

Exports US$ 148.50 bn
Imports US$ 147.20 bn
Trade Balance US$ 1.30 bn

DRI Forecast for Jan 2017

Inflation
MoM(%) 0.74
YoY(%) 3.26

SBI
End of period(% p.a) 4.75

Forecast for 2016

Inflation(%) 3.30
SBI(% p.a) 4.75