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Consumer Confidence Agustus 2018
August 01, 2018 10:33 WIB

Consumer Confidence rebounded in July 2018. In this month, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) rose 4.7 percent from 97.1 to a six-month high of 101.6, after dropping by 2.4 percent in the previous survey. Our latest survey reveals that consumers gave more positive assessments on current economic conditions and the state of the job market. In particular, consumer concerns on high foodstuff prices and job scarcity have eased (with the proportion of consumers citing these issues as a concern falling from 73.0 percent to 70.1 percent and from 38.3 percent to 33.9 percent respectively in July).

The two main components which make up the CCI increased in July: the component measuring consumer sentiment toward current conditions, the Present Situations Index (PSI), added 9.1 percent to 85.7, as sentiment toward the current state of the economy and the job market improved. The other main
component of the CCI - the one measuring consumer sentiment toward the future (the Expectations Index or EI) – also increased, adding 2.3 percent to 113.6. The increase in this index reflects stronger consumer optimism toward the economy and the job market outlook over the next six months.

With consumers being more upbeat on the national economic outlook, buying intentions for durable goods also increased in July. In our survey, 41.36 percent of consumers expressed plans to purchase a durable good over the next six months, or up from 40.26 percent in the previous month. Furthermore, on a yearly comparison, buying intentions for durable goods are also higher since only 40.60 percent of consumers expressed plans to purchase a durable good back in July 2017.

Consumer confidence in the government’s ability to carry out its duties strengthened in the July survey. After decreasing 0.4% in the previous survey, the Consumer Confidence in the Government Index (CCGI) added 2.9% to 108.8 in July. All components of the CCGI increased in our latest survey. Furthermore, four CCGI components are still above the neutral level of 100, thereby indicating that consumers are generally
convinced in the government’s ability to carry out its duties.

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Consumer Confidence Juli 2018
August 01, 2018 10:31 WIB

Consumer Confidence weakened in June 2018. In this month, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) fell 2.4 percent to 97.1 from 99.5 after increasing by 1.0 percent in the previous survey. Our latest survey reveals that consumers gave more negative assessments on current economic conditions and the state of the job market. In particular, consumer concerns on job scarcity have increased (with the proportion of consumers citing this issue as a concern increasing from 36.7 percent to 38.3 percent in June).

Of the two main components which make up the CCI, only one fell in June: the component measuring consumer sentiment toward current conditions, the Present Situations Index (PSI), retreated 7.3 percent to 78.5, as sentiment toward the current state of the economy and the job market deteriorated. By contrast, the other main component of the CCI - the one measuring consumer sentiment toward the future (the Expectations Index or EI) – still increased by 0.4 percent to 111.1. The increase in this index reflects stronger consumer optimism toward the economy and the job market outlook over the next six months.

Although consumers are more upbeat on the national economic outlook, buying intentions for durable goods still declined in June. In our survey, 40.26 percent of consumers expressed plans to purchase a durable good over the next six months, or down from 40.49 percent in the previous month. Nevertheless, on a yearly comparison, buying intentions for durable goods are still higher since only 39.73 percent of consumers expressed plans to purchase a durable good back in June 2017.

Consumer confidence in the government’s ability to carry out its duties weakened further in the June survey. After decreasing 0.2% in the previous survey, the Consumer Confidence in the Government Index (CCGI) retreated 0.4% to 105.7 in June. Three components of the CCGI declined while two components still increased. Nonetheless, four CCGI components are still above the neutral level of 100, thereby indicating that consumers are generally convinced in the government’s ability to carry out its duties.

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Stock Shoot - ANTM
June 08, 2018 09:48 WIB

Kinerja saham ANTM cenderung melemah, untuk menguji level 900, kemudian momentum tersebut disertai dengan kinerja saham ANTM yang berada pada teritori upper band pada indikator Bollinger band. Sebelumnya, rekomendasi beli saham ANTM di sampaikan pada tanggal 21 Mei 2018 pada harga Rp.850, dengan target harga 960, hingga ANTM berhasil menguji harga tertinggi Rp. 1.015 dengan rekomendasi jual pada tanggal 6 Juni 2018.
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Forecast For Aug 2016

Exports US$ 10.40 bn
Imports US$ 10.20 bn
Trade Balance US$ 0.25 bn


Forecast for 2016

Exports US$ 148.50 bn
Imports US$ 147.20 bn
Trade Balance US$ 1.30 bn

DRI Forecast for Jan 2017

Inflation
MoM(%) 0.74
YoY(%) 3.26

SBI
End of period(% p.a) 4.75

Forecast for 2016

Inflation(%) 3.30
SBI(% p.a) 4.75